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July 17, 2026 · the City’s first term sheet

The City’s draft,
scored

On July 17 the City’s negotiating team put the first Moda Center term sheet on paper — read the document itself, posted in the City’s public records. This page scores that draft against the fair-deal standard published here on June 25 — term by term, in three panels: the deal on paper before July 16 → what the City’s draft now includes → what must appear by signing. The diff is between two documents, not between people.

March 13
~$573M+ pledged
Terms attached: none. The public commitment moved first; the conditions didn’t exist yet.
July 9–17
The documents week
The state’s comps summary (7/9) · the County’s reset letter (7/16) · the City’s draft (7/17) — protections drafted, one revenue line. The three documents ↓
A note on why we show our receipts

Several terms in the City’s draft match — sometimes nearly clause for clause — terms this site published on June 25, three weeks before the draft. We time-stamp that convergence for one reason, and it isn’t a victory lap. It’s calibration. When this standard was first published, the most common response was that it was unrealistic — that no deal like this gets those terms. Half of the standard is now in the City of Portland’s own draft, put on paper by the City’s negotiating team, who deserve real credit for drafting it while their counterparty was, in a councilor’s words, answering direct questions with “zero.” So when you read the half that remains — rent, private capital, a naming share, the preserved repair claim — read it knowing the source has been tested against reality once already. The delivered column is the evidence for the remaining column. That’s the whole point of showing the dates.

Published → Drafted

Four quote pairs. Our published language above, the draft’s language below. The timestamps do the talking: the standard, published June 25, 2026 (archived) · the City’s draft term sheet, dated July 17, 2026 (the document, via portland.gov).

Non-relocation · Term 08
Published here · June 25“…pair them with an express specific-performance clause — the provision that actually forced the Sonics’ settlement in Seattle” · “recapture, acceleration, clawback… keyed to the full unamortized public stack”
The City’s draft · July 17“…the right to obtain specific performance, temporary restraining orders, preliminary and permanent injunctive relief… without the necessity of proving actual damages or posting bond” · “(iv) recapture, acceleration, clawback, or repayment of public incentives, subsidies, grants…” (Non-Relocation Agreement, p. 6)
Overruns · Term 08
Published here · June 25Name the payer — the management entity bears all overruns above the approved budget… ‘The authority isn’t required to pay’ is not the sentence ‘the owner is required to pay.’”
The City’s draft · July 17“All costs for the Renovation will be the sole responsibility of, and be paid for by, Rip City, except for the Public Funding Contribution… Anything in excess of the Renovation Budget… is the responsibility of Rip City.” (Renovation Budget, p. 2)
The parent guaranty · Term 13
Published here · June 25“Every public protection jointly and severally guaranteed by the operator (RCM) and Trail Blazers Inc.… The terms… will bind any successor”
The City’s draft · July 17“TBL will provide an unconditional guaranty of Rip City’s performance of all Renovation and post-Renovation obligations. The terms… will bind any successor to Rip City or TBL and survive any change of control.” (Assignment, Assumption and Guaranty, p. 5)
Audit rights · Term 12
Published here · June 25“Audited annual public disclosure by revenue stream, as a lease covenant… City audit rights
The City’s draft · July 17“The Joint Authority and the City may audit detailed financial reporting from Rip City to verify public return on the Public Funding Contribution.” (Financial Transparency and Audit Rights, p. 8)
Deliveredhold it through the redline
🟡
Partialthe category exists — finish it
Opennot in the draft — add it
🚨
At riska drafted instrument could erase it — protect it
A&R watchlistlives or dies in the amended & restated lease

Every term, scored

The fifteen terms of the published standard, each read against the July 17 draft. The BEFORE column describes the deal on paper — never the people negotiating it.

#TermBefore July 16 — the deal on paperIn the City’s draft (7/17)Must appear by signingStatus
00The condition precedentPublic commitments moved with no conditions attachedFunding level “subject to review of the plans, specifications, budget, and scope”; a City walk-away right if the operator can’t show a viable financing planCity money expressly conditioned on actual bond issuance (the state’s $365M is a declared intention, SB 1501 §3(4))🟡 Partial
01Price the alternativeNo benchmark study published, no market test, sole-source by choiceThe state’s PFM comparables summary surfaced July 9 — funding splits and governance boards for six NBA peers. Deal terms — rent, relocation, revenue shares — are not reviewed, and the draft term sheet doesn’t cite itThe §6(2)(a) terms review — by “a professional with expertise in arena negotiations” — published before the vote; the market test run🟡 Partial
02More per ticket, not lessFive fee carve-outs shrink the public’s 6% on exactly the seats the renovation adds“A 6% User Fee… will continue” — carve-outs untouched; no participation; fee revenue committed back to arena capital (Exhibit D)Premium seats fee’d at the price paid; 18% participation above an audited baseline; returns paid to the City, not recycled⭕ Open
03Share the naming rights100% of arena naming to the operator, no City approvalNaming subject to City approval and content limits; naming deals are “Material Agreements” the City may assume on specified events — architecture, not revenueThe renovation re-rate captured above the ~$4M baseline; the lease-end reversion priced, not granted at $0⭕ Open
04Fix the parking dealCity pays garage costs; operator keeps a 25% fee + Arena Garage event revenue; books closed to copies“The City retains parking revenues from Public Parking Facilities” — the status quo restated; an Amended & Restated Parking Agreement is listed, terms unwrittenThe 25% administration fee ends; a City share of event parking; audit with copies⭕ Open
05A payment in lieu of taxes$0 — the building is tax-exempt; no PILOT existed anywhere in the deal“$3,000,000 per year… escalated by 5% annually,” shared City / County / Portland Public Schools (~$99M over 20 years)A greatest-of-three covenant: the certified pre-exemption floor ($1.2–1.5M, CPI) · the county’s ORS 308.153 formula on the renovation ($5.1–9.4M/yr minimum) · appraised full equivalency (low-to-mid teens). Methodology🟡 Partial
06A real General-Fund return$1/year rentNo rent line appears in the document; the draft’s Exhibit D commits the City’s user-fee and parking receipts back to arena capital (~$275M/20yrs)A rent schedule — $4.5M/yr escalating 3% is this ownership’s own Raleigh signature (~$121M) — payable to the City directly⭕ Open
07The development upside3-year operator exclusive; a veto on City land sales; the City’s share undefined if the operator self-developsNot addressed — Albina Vision Trust and the 1803 Fund are named as community-benefits partners; the development architecture itself is absentThe Raleigh architecture: milestones, 6% ground rent, the tax rolls, 10% affordable housing, §12.5 lifted⭕ Open
08Caps, clawbacks, overrunsOverruns assigned to no one; relocation remedies at the statutory floor, operator-onlyThe payer is named: all costs beyond the Public Funding Contribution, overruns, gaps, and operating losses are Rip City’s; specific performance + liquidated damages + clawback, with the State and County as beneficiaries; an anti-value-engineering clauseAn owner-level GMP; “authority-requested” defined narrowly; a public-majority savings split; Exhibit A reconciled to the City’s own VSG study; formula-pegged damages✅ Delivered
09Delete the surcharge banLease §3.3 makes the City reimburse any City ticket tax dollar-for-dollarNot addressed — carries into the “amended and restated” lease by default unless deleted§3.3 deleted; the DA §28.2.4 definition conformed⏳ A&R lease
10The first-class claimA preserved, tolled claim, ~$164M face, “fully applicable upon termination” — the City’s own signed languageThe forward obligation is delivered — “Rip City will, at its cost and expense, keep and maintain” to the Comparable Facilities standard, with City inspection rights. The accrued claim is unmentioned — while the docs list includes an “amended and restated arena operating lease,” the exact instrument whose boilerplate can extinguish itOne sentence: “This Agreement is not a novation; the obligations and accrued claims under §§5.4 and 10.2 are expressly preserved.”🚨 At risk
11Protect the backup planLease §15 bars any 10,000–20,000-seat metro venue — including the City’s own optionsNot addressed§15 deleted or narrowed with a Coliseum carve-out and death-on-default⏳ A&R lease
12End the secrecyA term-long NDA; books that can’t be copied; confidential New York arbitrationAudit rights conceded in principle — “may audit detailed financial reporting… to verify public return” — “through a process to be established”Copies, not look-only; the NDA ends; Oregon-seated public arbitration; reporting past the statute’s 2032 sunset🟡 Partial
13Guarantees that surviveObligations lived in the operator shell; the 2024 backstop covered the clawback only“TBL will provide an unconditional guaranty… of all Renovation and post-Renovation obligations”; binds successors; survives any change of control; assignment needs Joint Authority and City approvalThe $50M evergreen letter of credit; springing recourse to the holding entity; the place-of-business fix (ESA §2)✅ Delivered
14Cap the NBA-rules clauseLease §18.26 subordinates the whole lease to current and future NBA rulesNot addressed — and assignments are “subject to… the NBA’s governing rules”An automatic make-whole on any rule change that reduces public revenue; supremacy expressly yields to non-relocation⏳ A&R lease

Term-level tally: 2 delivered · 4 partial · 5 open · 3 on the A&R-lease watchlist · 1 at risk. The full resolution — every sub-ask the terms page publishes, scored one by one — is in the master ledger below. The protections column converged; the economics column — rent, capital, participation, naming, parking, development — remains open, and the draft’s one revenue line is the $3M offset.

The master ledger — every sub-ask on the terms page, scored (63 rows)

The published standard makes its asks at the clause level — so the scoring should too. Every sub-ask from the fair-deal terms, read against the July 17 draft’s own language. Sub-ask tally: 6 delivered · 13 partial · 25 not addressed · 10 on the A&R-lease watchlist · 1 at risk.

#The ask, as publishedThe City’s draft, July 17
00City’s signature as the consideration; condition, don’t askThe draft is the City conditioning — and footnote 4, all caps: funding level “SUBJECT TO REVIEW OF THE PLANS, SPECIFICATIONS, BUDGET, AND SCOPE”🟡
00City commitments expressly conditioned on actual bond issuance (§3(4) asymmetry)“May contribute up to” is permissive, but no express bond-issuance condition on City obligations
01.1Publish the §6(2)(a) review before the voteSilent; benchmarks only to unnamed “Comparable Facilities” (the PFM funding summary surfaced separately, July 9)
01.2Publish a relocation BATNA modelSilent
01.3Test-sell disclosure (Portland-committed buyer)Silent
01.4Disclose alternative-operator economicsNo disclosure — but the Venue Manager clause contemplates “a third-party venue management firm of national reputation,” selection + contract subject to City approval🟡
01.5Don’t renew the sole-source exemption for biddable piecesRip City leads all design/renovation under the PDA; no competitive process
02.1Premium seats fee’d at price actually paid“A 6% User Fee… will continue” — carve-outs untouched
02.2Close the season-premium loopholeNot addressed
02.3Close affiliate-netting + promoter-default holesNot addressed
02.4Suites at 6% of actual license revenue; single-event to 100%Not addressed
02.518% participation above CPI-indexed baselineNo revenue participation anywhere — and Exhibit D now recycles all Moda user fees ($201M/20yr) into arena capex
03.1Naming re-rate captured via participationNo share; “Rip City will have customary naming… rights”
03.250/50 district-naming split (§31.2.4) carried forwardSilent
03.3Price the §31.4 reversionSilent — but naming deals become Material Agreements: City approval, third-party-beneficiary status, and a City right to assume🟡
04.1End/performance-base the 25% admin fee (§8.4)Silent; an “Amended and Restated Public Parking Agreement” is on the definitive-docs list
04.2Arena Garage gap closed; 30% of event parking to City“The City retains parking revenues from Public Parking Facilities” — status quo; Arena Garage untouched; Blazers-event parking recycled via Exhibit D ($46.4M/20yr)
04.3Open the private-garage booksGeneral audit right over “Arena revenues” may reach it; copies not stated🟡
04.4Narrow §4.2’s team-protective sentenceSilent (rate-approval authority retained)
05Greatest-of-three PILOT: the certified floor (CPI) · the county formula ($5.1–9.4M/yr post-reno) · appraised equivalency, no offsets“Property Tax Offset Payment”: $3M/yr escalating 5%, split City/County/PPS “proportionally” (undefined). Category conceded; starts above the documented floor, falls below the county-formula minimum post-renovation; no completion reset, no formula, no true-up🟡
06.1Rent: $4.5M/yr esc. 3% + $2.5M/yr operator capital reserveNo rent line exists in the document
06.2Direct-payment covenant — returns never into the Arena FundThe $3M offset does pay City/County/PPS directly — but fees/parking/VMC profits route into arena capex (Exhibit D, $275,000,016/20yr)🟡
07.1Development exclusive priced at Raleigh milestones + 6% ground rent + tax rolls + 10% affordableNo Rose Quarter development terms anywhere
07.2Remove the §12.5 land-disposition vetoSilent
07.3Delete §29.4 flip-only; define the share nowSilent
07.4Binding community benefits (AVT/1803, MWESB, anti-displacement)CBA required with 1803 Fund + Albina Vision Trust named; prevailing wage, PLA + labor-peace (Exhibit C), MBE goals, local hiring, 10+ community events/yr, LEED Platinum/net-zero, 100% renewable, district energy loop. Economics absent; housing percentages bracketed
07.5Use-it-or-lose-it reversion deadlinesN/A — no development terms
07.6TIF capture, public-majority authorityNot addressed
08.1Name the overrun payer“All costs… will be the sole responsibility of, and be paid for by, Rip City, except for the Public Funding Contribution… Anything in excess of the Renovation Budget… is the responsibility of Rip City” — plus post-renovation operating losses
08.2Owner-level GMP, not contractor-levelGMP not specified; PDA to set schedule, bonds, delay/abandonment consequences
08.3“Authority-requested” defined narrowlyInverse half delivered: TBL/Rip City–directed change orders are Rip City’s; authority-side definition absent🟡
08.4Savings split 65/35 publicAbsent
08.5Budget reconciled line-by-line to VSGExhibit A is blank; footnote 4 supplies the mechanism🟡
08.6No side doors (Arena Fund can’t absorb overruns)Not explicit
08.7Anti-descope protection (the five-question test’s spirit)Anti-value-engineering clause: no reducing “building systems and the structure to solely benefit revenue generating improvements”
08.8Cap the §5(5) maintenance commitment; match to operator spendCapped — Exhibit D annual ceilings, “revenues beyond… will not be available”; match requirement absent🟡
08.9Relocation penalty above the statutory floor, full-stack, specific performanceSubstantially delivered: TBL executes non-relocation agreement; specific performance, TRO, injunctions “without the necessity of proving actual damages or posting bond”; liquidated damages “reflecting the public investment”; clawback/recapture; fee reimbursement; breach = lease default; State/County/JA third-party beneficiaries; successor-binding
08.10Formula-pegged damages (Illingworth-safe)“Reflecting the public investment” — direction right, formula absent🟡
08.11Coliseum games fee’d + counted as home games“All… home games at the Arena, subject to limited exceptions” TBD in MOU; VMC side door unresolved
08.12Fence the §6(1)(e) injunction swordSilent
09Delete the §3.3 surcharge banSilent
10aForward first-class obligation restored, with inspection rights“Rip City will, at its cost and expense, keep and maintain the Arena… consistent with Comparable Facilities,” all capital repairs, 5-yr capital plan annually, City may perform periodic inspections
10bThe accrued claim: quantified, settled at $120M, credited once, no novationUnmentioned — while the docs list includes an “amended and restated arena operating lease” and the preamble runs on supersession. The kill-switch is armed🚨
11Kill or narrow the §15 non-competeSilent
12.1No NDA carryoverSilent
12.2Audited annual public disclosureGovernment audit yes; public disclosure no🟡
12.3Audit rights with copies“May audit detailed financial reporting… to verify public return” — copies unstated🟡
12.4Oregon records/arbitration supremacySilent
12.5Reporting past the 2032 sunset5-yr capital plans + JA information rights continue; §7-equivalent public reporting absent🟡
12.6Publish annual diversion amountsSilent
13.1Joint-and-several TBI backstop“TBL will provide an unconditional guaranty of Rip City’s performance of all Renovation and post-Renovation obligations,” binding successors, surviving change of control, assignment consent to City + JA + NBA rules
13.2$50M evergreen letter of credit + springing holdco recourseAbsent
13.3Publish the ESA §3.3 sale-assumption instrumentSilent
13.4Close the place-of-business holeSilent
14§18.26 make-whole; supremacy yields to non-relocation“Good standing under NBA Rules” appears; supremacy clause fate unaddressed

Package, process & conditions-precedent items — tally: 3 delivered · 3 partial · 2 open.

The itemThe draft
Term: 30 yrs + options, §4-sunset contingent“At least twenty (20) years from substantial completion” + mandated good-faith extension talks🟡
County locked first, joint protocolCounty terms embedded via the “Moda Center Funding Intergovernmental Agreement”; $88M = $53M bonds + remainder contingent on sale Business Income Tax🟡
City $120M re-sourced — no PCEFSourced to “bonds or other debt instruments”; PCEF appears nowhere🟡
Coverage analysis, bond-counsel memos, assessor opinion, JPMorgan releaseAll silent
PLA executed as conditionExhibit C: PLA + labor-peace agreements as “a material condition of the City entering into the Arena Lease”
Civic days / community useReserved civic days + major city-wide events, rent-free, cost-recovery only
Separate lease/funding votes; publish 30 days out; mandate disclosure; no hospitality; on-record no-termsProcess items — outside the draft, still open
December deadline cited to statuteNo December date anywhere in the draft; the clock is “four (4) years” from PDA execution — the fact-check, corroborated
The three highest-stakes cells: 10b — the accrued repair claim is one novation sentence from erasure · 06.1 — no rent line exists in the document · 08.2/08.5 — a named overrun payer without an owner-level GMP or an itemized budget is a promise without a ruler.

The pattern the ledger scores is clean: Tier 1 (protections) is substantially drafted; Tier 2 (economics) is absent except one line; Tier 3 (community) is largely delivered. The prediction the standard published in June — that the protective and community columns get conceded while the ownership-paid column goes quiet — is now a scored document.

The four columns, term by term

Each strip is a diff between two documents: the deal on paper before July 16, the City’s draft, and the language that must appear by signing — with its precedent, so nothing here asks anyone to invent anything.

✅ Delivered — hold it
Term 08

Overruns & the relocation stack

✅ Delivered — hold it
Before July 16

Cost overruns were assigned to no one — the statute said only that the authority can’t be forced to pay. Relocation remedies sat at the statutory floor: outstanding debt only, binding the operator entity alone.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“All costs for the Renovation will be the sole responsibility of, and be paid for by, Rip City, except for the Public Funding Contribution. Anything in excess of the Renovation Budget… is the responsibility of Rip City” — plus operating losses, an anti-value-engineering clause, a financing-capacity test, a City walk-away right, and a non-relocation agreement with specific performance, liquidated damages, and clawback, the State and County as named beneficiaries.

Must appear by signing

An owner-level GMP; “authority-requested modification” defined as authority-initiated only; a public-majority savings split; Exhibit A reconciled line-by-line to the City’s own VSG study (the draft’s $573M budget is the public portion by definition, sits $68M above the study’s full 20-year plan, and the update is drafted by the operator); damages pegged to a formula that survives an Oregon penalty-doctrine challenge.

Published here June 2026 → in the City’s draft July 2026 → now it must survive the redline.
Term 13

Guarantees that survive

✅ Delivered — hold it
Before July 16

The obligations lived in a disposable operator shell — the 2004 lesson. The 2024 backstop (ESA §4.5) covered only the clawback, with a six-month window.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“TBL will provide an unconditional guaranty of Rip City’s performance of all Renovation and post-Renovation obligations. The terms… will bind any successor to Rip City or TBL and survive any change of control.” Assignments require Joint Authority and City approval.

Must appear by signing

The $50M evergreen letter of credit; springing recourse to the ownership’s holding entity on trigger events — the form that costs a compliant owner nothing and trips only on the behavior it polices; the place-of-business fix (ESA §2), so the front office stays in Portland.

Published here June 2026 → in the City’s draft July 2026 → now it must survive the redline.
🟡 Partial — finish it
Term 05

The payment in lieu of taxes

🟡 Partial — finish it
Before July 16

$0 — the building is tax-exempt (ORS 307.171) and no payment in lieu existed anywhere in the deal.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“$3,000,000 per year… escalated by 5% annually,” distributed proportionally among the County, City, and Portland Public Schools — roughly $99M over 20 years.

Must appear by signing

The greatest-of-three covenant: the certified pre-exemption floor ($1.2–1.5M/yr, CPI) · at completion, the county’s own construction formula on the renovation — a $5.1–9.4M/yr mechanical minimum · or appraised full equivalency (income approach; the comparables bracket the low-to-mid teens). Honest credit first: the draft’s $3M starts at ~2–2.5× the documented floor. Post-renovation is the gap: at 5% escalation it enters the county-formula band only around year 12 and never reaches its top — or the teens — inside the term. The methodology →

The draft concedes the category — a payment in lieu of taxes now exists in the deal. The number is a first draft, and first drafts are supposed to grow toward the math: the county’s own construction formula puts the post-renovation minimum at $5.1–9.4M/yr, and appraised equivalency runs into the teens. The briefing paper →
Term 12

Transparency & audit

🟡 Partial — finish it
Before July 16

A term-long NDA with a tip-the-operator duty on records requests (§11.6); books the City may inspect but never copy (§10.14); confidential New York–seated arbitration (§14).

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“The Joint Authority and the City may audit detailed financial reporting from Rip City to verify public return on the Public Funding Contribution” — the principle, conceded; the mechanics “through a process to be established.”

Must appear by signing

Copies, not look-only — audit rights expressly overriding §10.14 and Parking §16.9; the NDA ends; Oregon-seated, publicly filed arbitration; annual public disclosure by revenue stream; quarterly reporting written past the statute’s own January 2032 sunset.

Published here June 2026 → the principle in the City’s draft July 2026 → the teeth are the remaining work.
Term 00

The condition precedent

🟡 Partial — finish it
Before July 16

Public commitments moved with no conditions attached to them — pledges first, terms later.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

The funding level is “SUBJECT TO REVIEW OF THE PLANS, SPECIFICATIONS, BUDGET, AND SCOPE” by the Joint Authority and the City — and if the operator “fails to demonstrate a viable financing plan,” either may “terminate the Renovation with no further financial obligation.”

Must appear by signing

City and County commitments expressly conditioned on actual bond issuance — SB 1501 §3(4) makes the state’s $365M a declared intention, not an obligation. No binding local promise against a non-binding state one.

Published here June 2026 → partial architecture in the draft July 2026 → one clause finishes it.
Term 01

The benchmark study

🟡 Partial — finish it
Before July 16

SB 1501 §6(2)(a) required the State to retain “a professional with expertise in arena negotiations” to review comparable NBA projects. As of late June, legislative staff confirmed in writing that no one had been retained.

Now public (7/9)

The state’s financial advisor, PFM, produced a State Funding and Governance Comparable Summary — six NBA peers, funding splits, board structures (compiled May, surfaced July 9). Its own pages document peer rent ($1–2M/yr), Orlando’s naming-and-suite revenue share, Indiana’s ~$750M early-termination payment, Milwaukee’s $2/ticket surcharge, and 18–52% private capital — every category the City’s draft omits. What it doesn’t do: review deal terms against Portland’s, or price them.

Must appear by signing

The terms review the statute describes — rent, relocation security, revenue shares, private capital — by an arena-negotiations professional, published before the vote; and the draft term sheet reconciled to the state’s own comparables.

Demanded here June 2026 → the funding half surfaced July 9 → the terms half is the remaining work. What the summary shows ↓
⭕ Open — add it
Term 06

Rent

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

$1 a year.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

No rent line appears in the document.

Must appear by signing

A rent schedule — $4.5M/yr escalating 3% from occupancy is the schedule this same ownership signed in Raleigh, replacing rent-free status; ~$121M over the term. Payable to the City of Portland directly — never deposited to or credited against the Arena Fund.

This is what the City’s negotiators need public backing to secure — the language is written, and the precedent is this ownership’s own signature.
Term 08 · capital

Private capital into the project

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

No ownership capital contribution appeared anywhere in the public record.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

The $573M Renovation Budget “is the public portion” — City $120M + County $88M + State $365M, to the dollar. The operator’s obligations begin above the budget line: overruns, gaps, operating losses. A base capital line for ownership does not yet appear.

Must appear by signing

A private-capital line with a number on it — the standard prices ~$245M against the ~$341M revenue-generating scope the operator’s income keeps. Peer ownership paid 18–62% in every verified comparable renovation (Cleveland 62.2%, D.C. 35.6%, Atlanta 26%, Indianapolis 18%).

The widest gap against the peer set — and the one number every comparable city obtained.
Term 02

Per-ticket return & participation

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

The 6% fee was structured smallest on exactly the premium seats the renovation is built to add — five carve-outs, ~$2.2–2.7M/yr of leakage.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“A 6% User Fee… will continue throughout the Term.” The carve-outs are untouched, participation is absent — and Exhibit D commits the fee’s receipts back to arena capital (below).

Must appear by signing

Premium seats fee’d at the price actually paid; suites at 6% of license revenue; 18% participation in gross premium, club, and naming revenue above a CPI-indexed audited baseline — substitute rent on public premium capital.

Milwaukee and Salt Lake City both carry per-ticket public returns — the mechanism is standard.
Term 03

The naming share

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

100% of arena naming to the operator, with no City approval (DA §31) — on a building the City owns.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

Naming is “subject to City approval and reasonable content restrictions,” and naming agreements are Material Agreements the City may assume on specified events. Approval and architecture — the revenue line remains open.

Must appear by signing

The renovation’s naming re-rate (reported ~$4M/yr toward $7–9M/yr) captured above the audited baseline; the 50/50 district-naming split carried forward; the lease-end reversion priced — a new multi-decade lease is a fresh license from the building’s owner.

The City already holds the reversion — the draft’s approval rights are the hook the revenue term hangs on.
Term 04

Parking

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

The City pays the garages’ costs; the operator keeps a 25%-of-gross administration fee plus Arena Garage event revenue; even the independent reviewer can’t copy the books (§16.9).

In the City’s draft (7/17)

“The City retains parking revenues from Public Parking Facilities” with rate approval — the current arrangement restated. An Amended & Restated Public Parking Agreement is on the definitive-documents list; its terms are unwritten.

Must appear by signing

The 25% fee ends or is performance-based; a City share of gross event parking (the standard prices 30% from 2031, ~$70M); the Arena Garage gap closed; books auditable with copies.

The restatement is the vehicle — the amended agreement is already on the list; the terms are the remaining work.
Term 07

The development upside

⭕ Open — add it
Before July 16

A 3-year operator exclusive on every parcel (DA §29.2.1); a veto on City land disposal (§12.5); the City’s share undefined when the operator self-develops (§29.2.4(d)).

In the City’s draft (7/17)

The development architecture is absent. Albina Vision Trust and the 1803 Fund appear as named community-benefits partners; Exhibit B commits to “partner with community development organizations on Rose Quarter redevelopment projects.”

Must appear by signing

The architecture this ownership signed in Raleigh: milestones ($200M/yr 5 → $400M/yr 10 → $800M/yr 20), 6% ground rent, the property-tax rolls, 10% affordable housing, §12.5 lifted so the City can deal directly with community principals.

The largest remaining value (~$160M+) — priced at the owner’s own precedent, never softer.
Terms 09 · 11 · 14

The three clause deletions

⏳ A&R-lease watchlist
Before July 16

§3.3 reimburses any City ticket tax; §15 bars the City’s own backup venue; §18.26 subordinates the lease to future NBA rules.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

None of the three is addressed. The lease will be “amended and restated” — each clause carries forward by default unless the restatement deletes it. Notable: the draft contains no signing deadline of any kind.

Must appear by signing

§3.3 deleted; §15 narrowed with a Coliseum carve-out; §18.26 capped with an automatic make-whole and express subordination to the non-relocation covenant.

Three deletions — the cheapest items on the sheet, and the ones that keep every other term enforceable.
🚨 At risk — protect it
Term 10

The first-class claim

🚨 At risk — protect it
Before July 16

A preserved, tolled claim, ~$164M face value, “fully applicable upon termination” — the City’s own signed language (§10.2), with the statutes of limitation expressly tolled.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

Unmentioned — and the definitive-documents list includes an “amended and restated arena operating lease,” the exact instrument whose boilerplate can extinguish an accrued claim. The draft also has the operator taking the building “AS-IS, WHERE-IS… WITH ALL FAULTS.”

Must appear by signing

One sentence: “This Agreement is not a novation; the obligations and accrued claims under Arena Operating Lease §§5.4 and 10.2 are expressly preserved [or credited at $___ against the Public Funding Contribution].” One sentence protects it. Its absence erases it.

The single cheapest, most urgent line in the entire negotiation.
Exhibit D

The recycling schedule

🚨 At risk — protect it
Before July 16

The 6% user fee and the City’s parking receipts were the public’s recurring return — the one stream the public kept.

In the City’s draft (7/17)

Exhibit D commits the City’s user fees ($201M), Blazers-event parking ($46M), VMC profit share ($20M), and visitor-facilities allocation ($8M) — $275,000,016 over FY2027–28 through FY2046–47 — to arena capital, up to annual caps. Revenue above the caps stays with the City: the caps are real, and they are also the whole protection.

Must appear by signing

The schedule trimmed to Blazers-derived revenue or sunset at bond retirement — and a boundary line between the operator’s keep-and-maintain-at-its-own-cost duty and “eligible capital expenses,” so the same dollar can’t be assigned to the operator in one section and the public in an exhibit.

A return the public pays itself is not a return — the direct-payment rule, published June 2026, is the fix.

The week the documents landed — July 9–17

Three documents in nine days. Read together, they are the negotiation’s current state: the state’s own benchmark data, the County’s conditions, and the City’s opener — and the benchmark existed a week before the opener that doesn’t cite it.

July 9 · The state’s comparables summary (PFM)

July 16 · The County’s reset letter — the gate is live

July 17 · The City’s draft — and the timing question

“Why is the Mayor saying we don’t have the details of the deal?”
Hear it from the campaign · Wake Up Rip City · July 2026 · at 33:02 · watch on YouTube

One renovation, five official numbers

Five numbers for the same project, none reconciled to another. Exhibit A — the itemized budget — is where they either converge or don’t; it is currently a blank page.

New in the draft — nobody asked, worth knowing

Credit where due: the City’s team drafted past the published standard in three places — the financing-capacity test with a walk-away right, the Material Agreement step-in rights, and the performance requirements below. Which is exactly the fact that makes the empty economics column conspicuous.

What must appear between here and signing — the complete list

Seven adds
Three survivals
Three watchlist items — the amended & restated lease

Every item above is either already in the City’s draft in principle, already in Portland’s own 2024 signatures, or already in this ownership’s Raleigh deal. Nothing on this list asks Portland’s negotiators to invent anything — only to be backed while they finish.

About the document and this page. The scored document is a draft term sheet dated July 17, 2026 (“Moda Center — Arena Renovation and Post-Renovation Operations Term Sheet,” 14 pages), prepared on the public side and provided to the team’s side; it describes itself as a non-binding summary to guide an MOU and definitive agreements. The City has posted the document in its public records: read it in full — every quotation on this page can be checked against it. Quotations are verbatim, cited by section heading and page. The BEFORE column describes the deal on paper, never the people. Figures: the $573M Public Funding Contribution and Exhibit D’s $275,000,016 schedule are the draft’s own numbers; the $3M offset totals ~$99M over 20 years at the draft’s 5% escalator; tax-equivalent PILOT math uses Multnomah County’s published ratios (see Term 05). Also cited on this page: the PFM Financial Advisors “State Funding and Governance Comparable Summary” (June 2026, compiled May, surfaced July 9 — posted at oregon.gov) and the July 16 letter from Commissioners Moyer and Brim-Edwards to Chair Vega Pederson, both quoted verbatim. County debt-service math is an estimate: ~$88M of bonds over ~23 years at municipal rates ≈ $6M/yr; the County’s slice of a proportional three-way $3M split ≈ $0.7M/yr. This is a draft — every status on this page will be re-scored against the MOU and the definitive agreements as they appear, and we will correct anything the documents contradict.
The delivered column is the evidence
for the remaining column.

Half the standard is in the City’s own draft. The other half has the language written and the precedent proven. Tell Council to back its negotiators — and finish the column before the vote.

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