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Rip City, Not Rip Off
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The adopted proposal, checked

On paper.
Still to deliver.

Rent was added. The complete funding, private investment and enforcement package still needs to be resolved.

Updated September 28, 2026Sources & corrections ↗

The short version. Rent was added on August 12. Major funding conflicts, blank budget detail, private capital and enforcement mechanics remain to be resolved.

A proposal is the beginning of delivery

  1. 01ProposedWhat the term sheet says.
  2. 02SignedA binding, complete obligation.
  3. 03FundedMoney or usable security is committed.
  4. 04VerifiedEvidence shows actual performance.
These are distinct milestones, not a score awarded to the current deal.

Status without false precision

SubjectCurrent statusWhat must be completed
RentProposed: $3.17M initial annual paymentCommencement, escalation floor, recipients, credits and security.
Public contributionFramework totals statedReconciled City/County funding, full budget and financing risk.
MaintenanceExisting rights and proposed future standardsValue releases and assign lifecycle costs, reserves and inspection.
Private cash and participationNo settled new minimum/sharePrice the complete operating and capital exchange.
Nonrelocation and securityExisting bridge plus proposed replacementsActual franchise, obligors, lenders, NBA consents and continuity.
Land and ColiseumValuable rights implicatedAVT parcel process and separately priced operatorship.
Public approvalFinal material suite not yet reviewed hereRedlines, fiscal report, deviations and meaningful review time.

Sources: August 12 City term sheet · Resolution 37750 · County Resolution 2026-050

Published, then drafted

Several terms in the City’s July 17 draft matched language published here on June 25, when the common response was that no deal gets those terms; the adopted August 12 sheet keeps them. Four pairs, verbatim: ours first, the City’s beside it.

TermPublished here, June 25The City’s term sheet
Nonrelocation remedies“…pair them with an express specific-performance clause” · “recapture, acceleration, clawback… keyed to the full unamortized public stack”“the right to obtain specific performance, temporary restraining orders, preliminary and permanent injunctive relief, declaratory relief, and all other equitable remedies, without the necessity of proving actual damages or posting bond” (August 12 sheet, Non-Relocation) · “(iv) recapture, acceleration, clawback, or repayment of public incentives, subsidies, grants, Property Tax payment abatements, or other economic benefits provided in connection with the Arena” (August 12 sheet, Non-Relocation)
Overruns“Name the payer — the management entity bears all overruns above the approved budget…”“All costs for the Renovation will be the sole responsibility of, and be paid for by, Rip City, except for the Public Funding Contribution (defined herein) over which the Joint Authority will have final approval. Anything in excess of the Renovation Budget as shown in Exhibit A is the responsibility of Rip City.” (August 12 sheet, Renovation Budget)
The parent guaranty“Every public protection jointly and severally guaranteed by the operator (RCM) and Trail Blazers Inc.… The terms… will bind any successor”“TBL will provide an unconditional guaranty of Rip City’s performance of all Renovation and post-Renovation obligations. The terms of the Definitive Agreements (including guaranty and non-relocation provisions) will bind any successor to Rip City or TBL and survive any change of control.” (August 12 sheet, Assignment, Assumption and Guaranty of Obligations)
Audit rights“Audited annual public disclosure by revenue stream, as a lease covenant… City audit rights”“The Joint Authority and the City may audit detailed financial reporting from Rip City to verify public return on the Public Funding Contribution.” (August 12 sheet, Financial Transparency and Audit Rights; the review process is “to be established”)

A guaranty, an overrun clause and an audit right on paper are proposed, not signed. The delivered language is evidence that the remaining terms are winnable, not a score for the current deal.

Sources: August 12 City term sheet · July 17 draft term sheet (City public records) · The June 25 standard, archived

The governments need a consistent offer

The City’s August 12 package assumes franchise-sale Business Income Tax funding that the County’s final resolution excludes. The County also requires arena-related receipts sufficient for its bond payments. A shared initial $3 million tax offset cannot simply be promised in full to every claimant. The combined plan needs a reconciled source-and-distribution schedule before the private obligations are priced.

The City wants retention and a manageable public asset; the County seeks protection of its budget, repayment and community conditions; the State controls a financing route and statutory conditions. These are distinct institutional incentives. A County remedy against the City can move risk within government unless the City obtains matching direct rights against a capable private obligor.

Sources: August 12 City term sheet · County Resolution 2026-050 · City CFO financing memo

One renovation, five official numbers

Each figure measures something different. None is reconciled to another, and the itemized budget exhibit is where they converge or do not.

$482MThe City’s June 3 memo: the facility assessment’s twenty-year plan less roughly $23 million of ice restoration and video work, its current-operations scenario. The same figure appears in the County commissioners’ July 16 letter, over 20 years. Verified
$505MThe 2024 facility assessment’s twenty-year lifecycle forecast, escalated from its 2024 cost basis: a capital-renewal plan for the building as it stands, not a transformation price. Verified
$573MThe adopted public renovation funding: State $365M, City $120M, County $88M. The sheet’s Renovation Budget is “estimated at $573,000,000 (as itemized and shown in Exhibit A),” and Exhibit A reads “NTD: Estimated Renovation Budget to be attached.” Proposal verified
~$575MThe State’s PFM comparables summary (June 2026) lists the Portland project cost as “~$575,000,000 (PROPOSED)” in its arena profile: a rounded planning figure, not a budget. Verified
$600MThe earlier floated ask, replaced by the $573 million framework.
$3M a year
The Property Tax Offset Payment: $3,000,000 a year, “escalated by 5% annually,” distributed “proportionally between the County, City, and Portland Public Schools.”Proposed
$3.17M a year
Rent of $3,170,000 in each year of the Term, “escalated by CPI-W or 3%, whichever is less”; the Term begins at substantial completion of the Renovation.Proposed

Sources: City memo, June 3, 2026 · Renovation study explained · State PFM comparables review · August 12 City term sheet · The public ledger

New in the sheet: worth knowing

Two provisions of the adopted sheet the public debate has mostly missed. Both are proposals for the Definitive Agreements, not signed obligations.

TBL Performance Requirements

An anti-tanking clause

“The Definitive Agreements will include commitments requiring TBL to maintain minimum competitive standards, including payroll spending thresholds (e.g., prohibition on finishing in the bottom third of league-wide payroll) and/or on-field/on-court performance benchmarks (e.g., minimum playoff appearance requirements).” The sheet’s reason: “team performance constitutes a material component of the return on public investment.” A standard needs a measure and a remedy to be delivery (Requirement 43). Proposed

Renovation Budget, Exhibit A

The blank exhibit

“The current total budget for the Renovation is, based upon information to be verified, estimated at $573,000,000 (as itemized and shown in Exhibit A, the ‘Renovation Budget’).” Exhibit A itself is a page reading “NTD: Estimated Renovation Budget to be attached.” By the July 30 work session’s own account, the itemization did not yet exist. The blank exhibit · The blank-check problem

Source: August 12 City term sheet, TBL Performance Requirements and Exhibit A.

What replaces the old scorecard

The former “delivered” counts overstated what a nonbinding proposal can establish. Use the 46-entry Register with separate statuses for proposed, agreed in principle, signed, funded and verified. Preserve equivalent existing protection only after checking the whole agreement suite.

The “contribution” claim, in his own words

At the Portland Metro Chamber’s June 24 annual meeting, Tom Dundon argued that the public money funding the renovation is really his contribution. A real contribution means the owner puts in his own money; the adopted framework’s ownership construction contribution is $0.

Portland Metro Chamber annual meeting · June 24, 2026

“We’re really just paying it”

Asked on stage why he is not putting his own money into the renovation, Dundon explained why he counts the public’s ticket and parking fees as his contribution: “…when you charge an incremental fee on a ticket, we’re really just paying it. So we are investing in it because if you didn’t charge that money on the ticket, we would charge more for the ticket… It’s not that we’re taking the money.”

Source by source

Whose money it is

The parking revenue comes from publicly built, publicly owned garages the City already collects from. The ticket user fee is a public charge collected from fans; a team-remitted fee may still be paid economically by fans, and how much an owner absorbs is a question of incidence. The withholding that SB 1501 §4 moves into the Arena Fund is tax on wages earned at the Rose Quarter, which players would owe in most states. Set against $573 million of public renovation funding and up to $288.6 million of continuing support before financing, the sliver of the fee an owner might absorb does not change the scorecard line.

Sourcing note. Dundon’s words are quoted from his on-stage interview at the Portland Metro Chamber annual meeting (Moda Center, June 24, 2026), a public event; verify exact wording against the recording before citing. The source-by-source walk-through, the fee-incidence illustration and the §10.9 and SB 1501 §4 routing are on the work-session page.

How these numbers fit together
$573MProposed public renovation portion: State $365M, City $120M, County $88M. The adopted negotiating documents still need a reconciled funding plan and complete project budget. Proposal verified
Up to $288.6MContinuing contribution ceilings: City $275M plus County $13.6M. Annual limits and actual-receipt conditions matter; these are not unconditional cash commitments. Proposal verified
$861.6M$573M + $288.6M: combined nominal framework ceilings before financing costs. This is neither a present value nor a binding all-in expenditure. Do not add repayment of the same borrowed principal twice. Calculated
$3.17M + $3MProposed initial annual rent and tax-offset payment. Rent begins at the specified post-renovation commencement and escalates by the lesser of CPI-W or 3%; the tax offset grows 5%. Start dates, recipients and credits still matter. These are not the public’s only receipts. Proposal verified
UnvaluedThe maintenance claim, new commercial rights and operating alternatives require legal, engineering and financial valuation. A lifecycle cost estimate is not a damages award; gross venue revenue is not profit.

Verified describes what a source says, not that a proposed obligation is signed or funded. The reconciled ledger and sources →